Measuring the monetary risk involved when spending in the transfer market.

Just one season after moving to Turin from Liverpool on a free transfer, it seems that Juventus are now keen to offload Emre Can. Last season the German midfielder made 37 appearances and scored 7 goals for the Old Lady, proving to be a key part of the team as they pushed for another Serie A title and hoped to capture the Champions League.

However, after the arrival of Maurizio Sarri and after a busy summer which saw the arrivals of fellow midfielders Aaron Ramsey and Adrien Rabiot it seems that Can has fallen down the pecking order. Given the acquisition of the two new midfielders it was always likely that at least one would have to depart, as it leaves the Turin club with 7 senior players who can play in central midfield. Juventus initially looked to move on either Sami Khedira or Blaise Matuidi but after receiving little interest for either player, Can appears to be next on the list.

The current favourites to sign the former Liverpool midfielder are Barcelona, who are looking to pursue a swap deal for Ivan Rakitic. The Croatian midfielder also seems to have fallen out of favour at Barcelona after he was only named as a substitute in the clubs victory against real Betis on Sunday. Whilst the Blaugrana may be keen on swapping the players, the Italian giants would prefer a sale as they try and recoup some funds of the funds invested in Matthijs de Ligt. Even if this move were to materialise, Can may still find it difficult to gain a regular place in a midfield that has the likes of Sergio Busquets, Arturo Vidal, and Frenkie De Jong at their disposal. Therefore, this deal doesn’t appear to be viable.

Another team with are interested in signing Can are Bayern Munich. This could be of interest to the midfielder as not only did he come through their development program as a youngster, but he could also link up with former Liverpool team-mate Philippe Coutinho, who recently joined on loan from Barcelona. It may initially prove a challenge for the German to become a regular starter for the Bavarian club as they do already have Javi Martinez and Corentin Tolisso covering the defensive midfield position, which is where Can would naturally fit. Although, with Martinez now in his 30’s and Bayern looking to rejuvenate their squad, it could be a good opportunity to see if Can is able to either form a partnership with, or compete for a place with, Tolisso. Therefore, a return to Bavaria currently seems to be the most feasible outcome for Can if he is to leave Italy.

Roma have also been touted as a potential destination for the 25 year old. Roma are already in talks with Juventus over the potential signing of centre back Daniele Rugani, the capital Club have also reportedly made their interest in Can known. Whilst the German would provide further midfield depth for Roma, after the additions of Amadou Diawara, Bryan Cristante and Jordan Veretout, as well as Maxime Gonalons returning from loan, another addition this window seems unlikely.

Our calculations currently value Emre Can at £18.36m. This relatively low valuation is primarily due to Germany dropping of the top 10 in the FIFA world rankings (down to 15th). If Germany were in the top 10, Can would be valued at £21.15m. As the player has already accumulated about four years of top level club football in the Premier League and Serie A and has 21 international caps for Germany Emre Can could prove to be a shrewd investment for any top European club. Also, at 25 years old, his best football may still be ahead of him.


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